Off Season Artilces Thread





 

Oregon guys preview us. Interesting breakdown. They do film review and deep dive some stats. You can tell on some fronts they don't have any sources to gather from (Safety, for example, they don't have any expectations of Lane nor Toure when Lane seems primed to start by most of us here), but they at least have an outside perspective and go by what is available.
 

Oregon guys preview us. Interesting breakdown. They do film review and deep dive some stats. You can tell on some fronts they don't have any sources to gather from (Safety, for example, they don't have any expectations of Lane nor Toure when Lane seems primed to start by most of us here), but they at least have an outside perspective and go by what is available.
They aren’t fans of our WR coach!
 

Oregon guys preview us. Interesting breakdown. They do film review and deep dive some stats. You can tell on some fronts they don't have any sources to gather from (Safety, for example, they don't have any expectations of Lane nor Toure when Lane seems primed to start by most of us here), but they at least have an outside perspective and go by what is available.
That's a great analysis. Three things stuck out to me:

1) "Coach Franklin’s preference for a grind-it-out slow pace of play is at odds with optimal game theory since he enjoys a talent and efficiency advantage against nearly every opponent".

I notice this at the end of the half or game. Allar seems much more decisive when we're in a hurry up offense (the last throw vs ND excluded).

2) "So in 2024, the cumulative 2nd and 3rd down rush defense success rate on anything with 6 yards to go or fewer collapsed to just 29.8%, the lowest it’s been for PSU in five years by at least ten points. And the 3rd & short vs 3rd & long pass defense differential, already a weak spot for PSU, became its worst as well, a 45-point gap (35.7% vs 80.7%), indicating a defense that was entirely dependent on the pass rush getting home and a secondary powerless to cover more than about two seconds."

I've always blamed our poor 3rd down defense on strategy. I seems to me that we do a lot of blitzing hoping for explosive plays (sack, fumble, INT) on defense. We seldom play more conservatively where we're willing to give up 3-4 yds and force a punt.

3) #58 DT Artis from the 2022 cycle and #39 DT Blanding from 2023, only came in for a couple of reps deep into mop-up time on Penn State’s blowout wins against totally overmatched teams like Kent State, Purdue, and Washington - notably, they didn’t fill in during the postseason when Ford and Beamon were no longer available to complete the standard four-man rotation, which Andrew and I agreed would seem to indicate the staff doesn’t have much confidence in them going forward.

I have to wonder if a 2 LB defense is smart when you're weak at DT. It seems like a safer bet to play Rojas & Deluca on the outside with Campbell in the middle. Also, it's not like we have a lot of proven depth at safety to feel confident about playing 5 DBs.
 
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